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Forum Haiti : Des Idées et des Débats sur l'Avenir d'Haiti

Forum Haiti : Des Idées et des Débats sur l'Avenir d'Haiti

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Forum Haiti : Des Idées et des Débats sur l'Avenir d'Haiti

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Joel
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Dènye sondaj:Majorite moun anba tant di ya p vote pou Jean-Henri Céant

Sasaye
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Message  Sasaye Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 6:47

Haiti Presidential Elections:
Notary Jean-Henry Ceant
Favored By The Majority Of Displaced In Port-au-Prince Tent Cities,
New NOAH 2010 Presidential Election Poll Reveals


For Immediate Release

PORT-AU-PRINCE, Port-au-Prince Haiti/EWORLDWIRE/Nov 17, 2010 —
The results of a recent polling expedition to identify the next President of Haiti shows notary Jean-Henry Céant favored by nearly three of four (72%) respondents.
Michel “Sweet Mickey” Martelly was also mentioned as a preferred choice of those interviewed.

The four day polling research tour – conducted from Nov. 11-14, 2010, included both focus groups and in-depth interviews.

Most of the interviews were conducted in four of the largest campsites in and around the capital city where nearly 600,000 residents remain since the earthquake on January 12, 2010.

Pollster Shawnta Walcott stated: “In terms of outcomes, there will be no first- round knock-outs here. You can bet on a highly contested second-round showing. While the race is still too close to call, Céant appears to be the candidate gaining the most momentum. He’s backed by key members of former President Aristide’s Fanmi Lavalas Party; highly favored by Catholics, Protestants and Voudonists; gained the support of peasant movement leader Chavannes Jean-Baptiste – which proved to be a significant asset for René Préval in 1996; attracted crowds of over 50,000 spectators to rallies in the North; and during our field research, respondents sang and danced -celebrating hiscandidacy.

“As for other polls showing drastically different results in Port-au-Prince, I can only assume that they aren’t speaking to the folks on the ground.”

Shawnta Walcott is the former Director of Communication for Zogby International, the second largest polling firm world-wide.

During the 2000 Presidential elections in Haiti, Walcott worked with National Democratic Institute (NDI) on their efforts to install electoral information centers throughout the country. In 2005 Walcott returned to Haiti to conduct the only published poll during the presidential elections showing René Préval leading by significant margins. The 2005 poll was commissioned by the National Association for the Advancement of Haitians (NOAH) and election results fell within the margin of error.

For more information on the poll, contact Shawnta Walcott at
(202) 714-7771 or e-mail shawnta@arielandethan.com.

The National Organization for the Advancement of Haitians (NOAH) was founded in 1991 as a U.S. based 501(c)(3) not-for-profit social policy corporation in response to the refugee crisis resulting from political unrest and upheaval in Haiti.

NOAH serves as a national, non-partisan organization dedicated to the restoration and preservation of democracy in Haiti. NOAH is recognized as a public policy information clearinghouse and advocate for the democratization of Haiti and is consulted by the executive branch of the United States as an intermediary between the governmental and the private sectors within Haiti and abroad.

Learn more at NOAHHaiti.org
(http://www.noahhaiti.org).

HTML:

http://www.eworldwire.com/view_release.php?id=none
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Message  Doub-Sossis Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 7:23

Sasaye,

Mezi lajan w mezi wangaw. Eske w pa panse se yon insult pou pep ayisien ke NOAH komandite yon sondaj ki pa yon sondaj ki reprezante tout pep Haitien an. Ki vle diw sou 10 millions Haitiens se sak anba tant yo nou te we nan repotaj ki di yap vote pou kandida kap bay lajan, se yo ki represantatif.

Sa pa etonem non de NOAH, ni de moun yo chwazi po bay 70%, 3 moun sou 4, se simn moun Ceant tap ditribuye manger bayo yo interviewe. sE MENM EKIP KITAP FE LOBBYING AK BLACK KOKINS MONTRE ARISTID KIJAN FE ZERO TOUNEN 9.

Method yo itilze a pa bon menm li extremement biaise nan fave yon sel kandidat, se menm ekip kitap fe sondaj sou intenet kitap bay menm kandidat sa komkwa devan mwen te demontel.

Mwen ta renmen we eske wap jwen yon jounal serieux Tankou Times kap piblie torchon desinformation sila alos ke pa BRIDES LA KI SCIENTIFIK FE LE TOUR DU MONDE.



Dernière édition par Doub-Sossis le Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 8:12, édité 4 fois
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Message  Joel Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 7:45

Pa vin ensilte NOAH.
Òganizasyon sa a ,se petèt òganizasyon ki ede plis lan tout òganizasyon AYISYEN a letranje yo.Menm yon nèg tankou RENE PROSPER ke si n pa konnen ,se ansyen asistan sekretè DETA DWA MOUN sou gouvènman BUSH lan ,konn asiste lan konferans NOAH yo;yo pa lan pati pri.

Epitou ZOGBY INTERNATIONAL se tou san dout òganizasyon sondaj ki pi respekte OZETAZINI.Yo fè sondaj lan tout peyi.

Yon sèl bagay mwen ka di w SASAYE,se yon BONB ATOMIK ,ou lage la a.
Senatè HERIVEAUX ,genlè gen rezon lè l te di ayè sou RANMASE ke madan MANIGA pa p prezidan.
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Message  Invité Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 7:59

72% à 1 semaine du scutin
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Message  Invité Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 8:42

Cean klè ke lap mare Preval....

Ant 2 mal, Preval ap pito pran sa ki mwen vyolan an...

Mwen vle di, Preval ap kite Madan Manigat pase sou Ceant...

Ti Jude pap fè vot di tou pou yon koken ta fèt pou li...
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Message  Joel Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 8:44

T-NEG a écrit:72% à 1 semaine du scutin

72% des gens vivant sous les tentes.L'experte a remarqué qu'il y aura un deuxième tour.
Ce serait ""classique"",si ce serait un duel entre madame MANIGAT et JEAN HENRY CEANT.
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Message  Invité Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 8:49

Joel a écrit:
T-NEG a écrit:72% à 1 semaine du scutin

72% des gens vivant sous les tentes.L'experte a remarqué qu'il y aura un deuxième tour.
Ce serait ""classique"",si ce serait un duel entre madame MANIGAT et JEAN HENRY CEANT.

Se la wi, mwen kondane konseye ti madan nan...

Li gen yon pi bon mesaj ke krab la, men li noye li nan kreyol melanje ak fransè ke moun anba tant yo pap konpran.

Eske avèk Cean Ayiti ap kontinye ak spiral vyolans toujou????

Bondie, si wap tande, sove Ayiti de mal sa a souple!!!!
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Message  Doub-Sossis Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 8:53

MALGRE TOU BRI KAP FET MWEN PA KWE
MEN MWEN TANDE WYKLEF AP RANTRE HAITI LUNDI
ESKE LI PWAL ENFIN DI KILES LI ENDOSSE

COLO MEN BON KREOL



Dernière édition par Doub-Sossis le Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 8:56, édité 1 fois
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Message  Invité Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 8:55

Doub-Sossis a écrit:MLGRE TOU BRI KAP FET MWEN PA KWE
MEN MWEN TANDE WYKLEF AP RANTRE HAITI LUNDI
ESKE LI PWAL ENFIN DI KILES LI ENDOSSE


[youtube]http:/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9KKaERdvwSo%2F [/youtube]

Mouche ap vini bay Ti Jude jarèt daprè sous mwen ka fè konfyans...

Se yon zèl kat Preval te sere pou li ka moutre ti Jude popilè
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Message  Doub-Sossis Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 9:06

COLO WYCLEF SE YON "WILD CARD"
PERSON PA VREMAN KONEN KOTEL YE
LI KA APIYE MADAN MANIGAT TOU
YO FEM KONEN LI TE PALE AVEK LI NAN TELEPHONE

SIW SUIV BIEN MUSSIEU TOUJOU SOU BO MOUN KAP GENYEN AN
MUSSIEU PA RENMEN NAN CAMP "LOOSERS"

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Message  Invité Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 9:15

Doub-Sossis a écrit:COLO WYCLEF SE YON "WILD CARD"
PERSON PA VREMAN KONEN KOTEL YE
LI KA APIYE MADAN MANIGAT TOU
YO FEM KONEN LI TE PALE AVEK LI NAN TELEPHONE

SIW SUIV BIEN MUSSIEU TOUJOU SOU BO MOUN KAP GENYEN AN
MUSSIEU PA RENMEN NAN CAMP "LOOSERS"


"Mathematiquement", Madan Manigat ta sipoze genyen....

Men pa bliye jwèt la pap prop ...

Antanka "legaliste", Madan Manigat pap janm souleve yon mouveman popilè pou oblije Preval respekte vot moun yo...

E Wiclef konnen sa... Se pou tèt sa, li ale nan lot kan an...
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Message  revelation Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 9:21

Avek foto kandida pati Unite ke pep la rejete e ap dechire tout jounnen pou exprime mekontantman yo kont regime Preval la.

Dènye sondaj:Majorite moun anba tant di ya p vote pou Jean-Henri Céant Haitielection-21
Yap kontinye voye sang sou foto Celestin pou pou ti non a kontinuite o zanfe saa.
Ceant se yon oportinist ki fek paret tet li sou scene politik peyi a! Se promess a radot selman ke li gen nan djakout li!
Kom Celestin ak Ceant ap pedi vitess, yo pa an tet kous prezidansyel la anko dapre pawol kap soti Washington ak Kanada.

Kominote internasyonal la vle travay ak moun ki pap pedi tan jwe politik e fe konsansis ak lot pati.
Yo fe chwa yo sou Mrs. Manigat ak Michel Martelly an tet de list yo.

2 kandida sa yo paret favorab pou plizye rezon. Avek Preval, Bellerive, e Bill Clinton ki fe pati rekonstriksyon peyi a yo pap gade deye.
Fok pep la avanse pou pi devan ak yo.
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Message  Doub-Sossis Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 9:35

revelation a écrit:
Avek foto kandida pati Unite ke pep la rejete e ap dechire tout jounnen pou exprime mekontantman yo kont regime Preval la.

Dènye sondaj:Majorite moun anba tant di ya p vote pou Jean-Henri Céant Haitielection-21
Yap kontinye voye sang sou foto Celestin pou pou ti non a kontinuite o zanfe saa.
Ceant se yon oportinist ki fek paret tet li sou scene politik peyi a! Se promess a radot selman ke li gen nan djakout li!
Kom Celestin ak Ceant ap pedi vitess, yo pa an tet kous prezidansyel la anko dapre pawol kap soti Washington ak Kanada.

Kominote internasyonal la vle travay ak moun ki pap pedi tan jwe politik e fe konsansis ak lot pati.
Yo fe chwa yo sou Mrs. Manigat ak Michel Martelly an tet de list yo.

2 kandida sa yo paret favorab pou plizye rezon. Avek Preval, Bellerive, e Bill Clinton ki fe pati rekonstriksyon peyi a yo pap gade deye.
Fok pep la avanse pou pi devan ak yo.


Revelation, mwen bawou diplome wou kom analyste politik. Mwen pat vle mete pawol la deyor, men wou fel ou menm.



Dènye sondaj:Majorite moun anba tant di ya p vote pou Jean-Henri Céant Diploma-1
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Message  Invité Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 9:41

Doub la,

Se vre wi...

Apo Revelation pa bo isit pa gen mezi...

Mouche ede anpil moun konpran bagay yo...
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Message  Le gros roseau Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 9:51

Colo

Si Wyclef ta rantre an ayiti al ba Ti jude jaret kom ou di ya li fini politikman an ayiti.mwen ta swete se pa vre apre deseptyon ke li pran nan men KEP ke Preval dirije ya.mwen deja di nou ke Michel martelly genyen yon pè las kache nan men li ;li ka fè diferans si genyen yon dezyem tou wi.Si madan Manigat konn fè politik se poul komanse voye kek geb flè pou Madan Martelly wi tankou Duvalier te konn voye flè pou madan kebreau.
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Message  obsèvatè Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 11:39

Antouka kandida ki ap gen chans jwen bourad Wyclef ak gen 70 à 80 % chans genyen <eleksyon malatchonj> kil pral fèt la...
Mwen deja instale ti chèz ba m'poum suiv film la...
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Message  Joel Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 12:08

WI;

Kounye an ,CEANT se vyolan?
Gen nèp ki ap di tou ke WASHINGTON se madan MANIGA ou byen MARTELLY ke yo vle ,alòs ke KENNETH MERTEN limenm di ke li k ap travay ak nenpòt mesyedam ki prezidan.
Se sa menm ,WASHINGTON pa p enterfere ,paske pa gen youn lan mesyedam yo ki se yon menas a enterè ameriken.
SISPANN RANS!
SITOU E SITOU ,se ARTURO VALENZUELA ki an chaj ZAFÈ LATINO AMERIKEN lan DEPATMAN DETA.
Misye te kondane koudeta kont ARISTIDE lan ;misye te di ke koudeta a te kont enterè ameriken.Se VALENZUELA ki ranplase NORIEGA ,lan DEPATMAN DETA.
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Message  Rico Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 12:21

Mezanmiro mwen fout bouke tande vye son ak radot ki pa kanpe sou anyen. Koulyè a a lavalasyen kapitalus se peche, vinn pi meriken nasyonalus ke estrem dwat rasis meriken yo.

O wi sesi, sela se kinan yo , se moun payo ki la pou defann yo, kite kont koudeta e latriye. Poutan menm dyol alèlè sayo te toujou fè konprann se meriken ki bayo bon kalot jimo, voye koken Tu tud ale.

Wouyyyy menm nasyonalus radotè ap voye monte fè konnen meriken kinan yo pral mete kandida yo sou chèz boure. Pandan ke chèf venere yo fè konnen li pa nan seleksyon. Chèf yo ki kanpe sou bit nasyonalus kont meriken ki lakoz yo voye l nan jing Afrik di Sid.

Men tonas Joel, Sasaye, Marc kote nou kanpe vreman, plen kontradikasyon nan pozisyon nou finalman se branche nou.
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Message  Sasaye Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 13:34


Alo, lan ipotèz tout moun ladan l lan, nou pa konsidere posibilite pou Wyklèf apiye Céant?
Yo di lan lari a ke Gi Filip pral bay Céant sipo l.

Céant kapab vanse san sipo mesye sayo, men sa pa ta etone m.

Doub,
Kom ekspè lan sondaj, èske w ka di m poukisa yo paka fè sondaj lan yon seksyon krisyal yon popilasyon?
Dayè moun ki anba tant yo soti lan tout klas sosyal lan peyi a. Sa pa vle di se ansyen moun Site Solèy sèlman.

Tout moun bay popilasyon anba tant yo priyorite kom se premye aksyon politik yo pral pran si yo vinn presidan.

Tranblemandtè a pat fè eksklisyon non, lè l te frape 12 janvye an.

Pinga moun sezi si lan premye tou a se Céant avèk Mately ki devan bann nan non.
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Message  dilibon Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 13:49

Nan denye jou sa yo la youn endorsman Wyclef ou byen Guy Philippe ki pa mashe ak patisipasyon aktiv mesyw sa yo nan kanpay la plis lajan an menm tan pap pote rezilta eskonte yo!
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Message  Doub-Sossis Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 14:02

Sasaye a écrit:

Doub,
Kom ekspè lan sondaj, èske w ka di m poukisa yo paka fè sondaj lan yon seksyon krisyal yon popilasyon?
Dayè moun ki anba tant yo soti lan tout klas sosyal lan peyi a. Sa pa vle di se ansyen moun Site Solèy sèlman.

Tout moun bay popilasyon anba tant yo priyorite kom se premye aksyon politik yo pral pran si yo vinn presidan.

Tranblemandtè a pat fè eksklisyon non, lè l te frape 12 janvye an.



Sasaye men mosso nan repons la, sondaj NOAH ankor pi mal paske apa se yon ``convenience sample`` li ba bazé sou methodologie estatistik classik li plito bazé sou ``Focus-group`` yon method ki tres contreversé, ki cheap et rézilta manipulab facilement sélon moun kap menen group la. Anplis rezilta yo pa kantitatif, yo plito qualitatif wou paka kalkile ki erreur ki ladan ni applike anken theorem statistik ou mathematik.
http://www.chronicpoverty.org/page/toolbox-focus-interviews

Convenience sampling or Accidental Sampling
Convenience sampling (sometimes known as grab or opportunity sampling) is a type of nonprobability sampling which involves the sample being drawn from that part of the population which is close to hand. That is, a sample population selected because it is readily available and convenient. It may be through meeting the person or including a person in the sample when one meets them or chosen by finding them through technological means such as the internet or through phone. The researcher using such a sample cannot scientifically make generalizations about the total population from this sample because it would not be representative enough. For example, if the interviewer was to conduct such a survey at a shopping center early in the morning on a given day, the people that he/she could interview would be limited to those given there at that given time, which would not represent the views of other members of society in such an area, if the survey was to be conducted at different times of day and several times per week. This type of sampling is most useful for pilot testing. Several important considerations for researchers using convenience samples include:
Are there controls within the research design or experiment which can serve to lessen the impact of a non-random convenience sample, thereby ensuring the results will be more representative of the population?
Is there good reason to believe that a particular convenience sample would or should respond or behave differently than a random sample from the same population?
Is the question being asked by the research one that can adequately be answered using a convenience sample?
In social science research, snowball sampling is a similar technique, where existing study subjects are used to recruit more subjects into the sample.

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Dènye sondaj:Majorite moun anba tant di ya p vote pou Jean-Henri Céant Empty Re: Dènye sondaj:Majorite moun anba tant di ya p vote pou Jean-Henri Céant

Message  revelation Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 14:06

Joel di: Kounye an ,CEANT se vyolan?
Ba nou referans lan SVP kote ke yo di ke Ceant se violan?

Joel di: Gen nèp ki ap di tou ke WASHINGTON se madan MANIGA ou byen MARTELLY ke yo vle ,alòs ke KENNETH MERTEN limenm di ke li k ap travay ak nenpòt mesyedam ki prezidan. Se sa menm ,WASHINGTON pa p enterfere ,paske pa gen youn lan mesyedam yo ki se yon menas a enterè ameriken. SISPANN RANS!
Washington DC ak Otawa analize tout videotape interviewMrs Manigat e Martelly yo ki montre ke si mesyedam sa yo monte yon bel ekip ministeryel, lap pli fasil pou yo travay ak yo.
Videotape Cite soley ak moun anba tant ak kandida kap kanpe sou tet kamyon kap fe promess bay pep la valab tou. Men se program yon kandida ke assistans internasyonal la vle tande! Pati Manigat ak Martelly a sanse "tounef" yo pa gen lien politik ak peson ni promess pou yo kenbe!

Celestin kandida pati UNITE a se diplikata kontinuasyon gouvenman Preval la ap pedi vitess chak jou, zin koripsyon a dwat, a goch lajan pep la pou achte, kay million dolla e fe eleksyon etc.., sa fe assistans internasyonal la pê nan poch yo e kap pedi konfiyans nan gouvenman saa.

Ceant li memm se konnyen la ke pep la tande pale de li, gen trop zô nan klozet li , Yo di ke fanmi li nan drog, li se konseye ansyen prezidan Aristide, assosiyasyon li e promess li fe ak lot pati politik e assistans internasyonal la pa ta renmen yon prezidan kap pedi tan'l satisfe kapriss lot pati politik e nouvo zin korripsyon kap soti a dwat a goch le li finn monte.

Pou zafe deklarasyon Kenneth Merten an, se yon diplomat ke li ye se normal pou'l di ke li kap travay ak nenpot mesyedam!
Si w te a la plas li kom diplomat, se sa ke w tap di tou.W pa kab imajine sa?

Pa bliye ke pawol diplomat sa yo pa peze lou nan jwet la?
W sonje Brian Dean Curran!
Yon simp ti sivil ak yon ekip renagate ba'l anpil pwoblem.
Sasaye
Sasaye
Super Star
Super Star


Masculin
Nombre de messages : 8252
Localisation : Canada
Opinion politique : Indépendance totale
Loisirs : Arts et Musique, Pale Ayisien
Date d'inscription : 02/03/2007

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Jeu de rôle: Maestro

Dènye sondaj:Majorite moun anba tant di ya p vote pou Jean-Henri Céant Empty Re: Dènye sondaj:Majorite moun anba tant di ya p vote pou Jean-Henri Céant

Message  Sasaye Dim 21 Nov 2010 - 14:16

Mèsi Doub,

Repons w a trè korèk.

Pa gen derogasyon paske resilta sondaj la spesifye ke seksyon sa ke
yo enteroje yo bay Céant preferans yo.

Yo pa pretann ke se opinyon tout popilasyon an.

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Dènye sondaj:Majorite moun anba tant di ya p vote pou Jean-Henri Céant Empty Re: Dènye sondaj:Majorite moun anba tant di ya p vote pou Jean-Henri Céant

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