let me be state clearly that i believe that it would be in the best interest of our future for president Preval to issue an amnesty that would pardon all past political crimes and subsequently pardon their perpetrators;and that would include Jean Claude, Aristide, Cedras and others.
With that being said, I believe that Jean Claude has no political future in Haiti despite the enthusiasm of his very loyal supporters. it is worth noting that in history, many former dictators who were pushed out of office had successfully re-engineered their image to the point of regaining power via democratic means. but all these successes have three things in common:
the dictator in question is a populist, charismatic, former military man : in chaotic situations where political factions and ethnic divisions are rampant, the reappearance of a former strong man with military discipline on the scene__ with political cosmetic make-over___ can be quite welcome by a populace tired of and overwhelmed by the constancy of political chaos and conflicts.
but Jean Claude Duvalier is not charismatic, does not project an image of strength, nor has he YET undergone a political make-over.
The man does not speak the language of the tired people: his cadence and style of speech are too relaxed for young people in need of inspiration.
The man does not project an image of strength: He looks pale and even senile for his age(only 59) and therefore projects an image of sickness or morbidity. it is bad symbolically for a country in need of rejuvenation after years of death, diseases and natural calamities.
the man has not gone through a political make-over: he does not have a political party with prominent former adversaries as allies; that is a necessary political make-over because it would send an image of renewal, and of reconciliation. it would create the myth of rebirth, and therefore help blur the nefarious aspects of his past. In fact, most of his friends are of same old guard.
and there is the woman in his life: it has been argued that jean Claude's problems stemmed from his having been controlled and manipulated by an ambitious woman, namely Michelle Bennett. but compared to Veronique Roy, Michelle Bennett is a dove. this is a woman who went to Haiti, started a Duvalier center, sued the powerful Mevs family for stolen properties while still speaking creole with a heavy accent; She did all that while not officially Jean Claude's wife. And to top it all, not ONLY does she have colossal political ambitions, she has presidential connections in the past by being the grand-daughter of PRESIDENT Magloire.
so, the reality of Veronique reinforces the perception of jean clause as a manipulable leader, particularly by whomever happens to be the woman in his life. that my friend is a kiss of death in Haitian politics, particularly after we have internalized the myth of Michelle Bennett in our political psyche.